Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 7.576294 8.413224 9.349794 10.484796 11.835730 13.408639 15.403250
2025-01-26 6.269667 7.361293 8.692628 10.471974 12.846845 16.000864 20.683081
2025-02-02 5.849369 7.152463 8.847361 11.294776 14.891748 20.274373 29.625974
2025-02-09 5.456399 6.875842 8.814200 11.789370 16.526679 24.408535 40.370499
2025-02-16 5.028633 6.476882 8.526923 11.823416 17.417484 27.593048 51.311885
2025-02-23 4.774778 6.280211 8.486899 12.204188 18.943146 32.458575 69.745310
2025-03-02 4.368577 5.816040 7.981487 11.732111 18.814082 33.941491 80.915816
2025-03-09 4.059498 5.465932 7.610677 11.425231 18.919952 35.983583 96.243501
2025-03-16 3.826941 5.210366 7.360430 11.287865 19.326920 38.922704 119.256181
2025-03-23 3.725032 5.145516 7.408879 11.693558 20.972107 45.929452 176.098809
2025-03-30 3.492161 4.856350 7.055491 11.289796 20.714036 47.362268 206.662065
2025-04-06 3.279354 4.585610 6.711674 10.863407 20.320000 48.242814 237.867239
2025-04-13 3.083100 4.344642 6.425899 10.572553 20.338875 51.100416 308.725030
2025-04-20 2.942412 4.187824 6.278765 10.555903 21.091966 57.424109 486.764703
2025-04-27 2.934105 4.247405 6.519803 11.388500 24.404396 78.043955 1755.467543
2025-05-04 2.878533 4.221618 6.600621 11.889225 27.022473 100.447094 15176.636495
2025-05-11 2.771912 4.099366 6.486545 11.923698 28.218089 117.388077 NaN
2025-05-18 2.712671 4.055289 6.517749 12.309286 30.795432 151.763016 NaN
2025-05-25 2.568616 3.851403 6.217032 11.831249 30.079481 156.242324 NaN
2025-06-01 2.452531 3.691674 5.993216 11.520555 29.925674 167.224295 NaN
2025-06-08 2.362007 3.573236 5.843783 11.381498 30.419256 188.285048 NaN
2025-06-15 2.329106 3.557372 5.901127 11.792214 33.383878 259.532732 NaN
2025-06-22 2.225314 3.405555 5.665963 11.383452 32.627645 267.534276 NaN